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RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

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blackice
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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by blackice »

Really great read, really enjoyed this one. Nice to see Lillard (3), Kanter (7) and Mudiay (8) getting some recognition here, hopefully we can translate their play into wins though.
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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by lakeshowak7 »

Chilikonkarne wrote:
GreenBear wrote:
lakeshowak7 wrote:#1 - Lebron James - Milwaukee_Bucks : 28.3pts, 47%, 4.9ast, 5.3rbd, 1.5stl, 0.5blk in 35.1min / EVAL: 93.7
#2 - Kevin Durant - Portland_Trailblazers : 28.4pts, 47%, 7.3ast, 8rbd, 1.2stl, 1blk in 39.1min / EVAL: 91.2

Curious to see what differentiated them as KD clearly outperforms LBJ...
Likely ratings, as Chili said 60-70% of the EVAL comes from a player's ratings

Could also be that KD is playing more minutes, which is factored in.
This. Not sure the exact rating impact, will check the breakdown once I get back to the computer. But from performance points of view :

- More minutes played by Durant
- 3pts% (28 vs 35)
- TO (4.9 vs 3.0)
Okay makes sense

But how do you determine a players projected stats when they've played less minutes? What's the baseline there?

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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by Chilikonkarne »

Here is the break down for Durant and Lebron

Efficiency

Lebron 104
Durant 103

Ratings (which also take into consideration %)

Lebron 89
Durant 86

But I expect Durant to step-up as he was more efficient the last seasons

2018 - Kevin Durant - Portland_Trailblazers : 28.4pts, 47%, 7.3ast, 8rbd, 1.2stl, 1blk in 39.1min / EVAL: 91.2
2017 - Kevin Durant - Portland_Trailblazers : 40.2pts, 49%, 5.6ast, 9.3rbd, 1.3stl, 1.3blk in 43.3min / EVAL: 98.2
2016 - Kevin Durant - San_Antonio_Spurs : 32.8pts, 48%, 3.5ast, 7.1rbd, 1.2stl, 0.9blk in 33.1min / EVAL: 99.5
2015 - Kevin Durant - San_Antonio_Spurs : 26.8pts, 45%, 4ast, 7.2rbd, 1.2stl, 1.1blk in 34.8min / EVAL: 92.3
2014 - Kevin Durant - Oklahoma City Thunder : 29.6pts, 48%, 4.2ast, 6.5rbd, 1.1stl, 1blk in 36.8min / EVAL: 94.2

Baseline is 20 minutes minimum a game and a certain number of game to be eligible.
Then I calculate efficiency by minute
Chilikonkarne Era (273-186 / 59%)

2014-2015 : 28-21 - (Lottery)
2015-2016 : 50-32 - (Conference Final)
2016-2017 : 35-47 - (Lottery)
2017-2018 : 54-28 - (Conference Final, Atlantic Division Champion)
2018-2019 : 49-33 - (2nd round)
2019-2020 : 57-25 - (2nd round, Atlantic Division Champion)

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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by Chilikonkarne »

WillyJakkz wrote:Also shocked by the Rookie rankings as I had Mudiay and Harper leading ROY in my book, this gives a different perspective thanks!
Harper wasn't eligible : number of games and still playing under 20 minutes a game. But he should be part of next ranking
Chilikonkarne Era (273-186 / 59%)

2014-2015 : 28-21 - (Lottery)
2015-2016 : 50-32 - (Conference Final)
2016-2017 : 35-47 - (Lottery)
2017-2018 : 54-28 - (Conference Final, Atlantic Division Champion)
2018-2019 : 49-33 - (2nd round)
2019-2020 : 57-25 - (2nd round, Atlantic Division Champion)

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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by hardenwithnod »

Do you have a percentage breakdown on how much rating affects this?
Alvarado/Mitchell/Tatum/Bender/Birutis

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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by Chilikonkarne »

hardenwithnod wrote:Do you have a percentage breakdown on how much rating affects this?
70% rating - 30% performance

But with the % also included in the ratings, I would assume 60/40
Chilikonkarne Era (273-186 / 59%)

2014-2015 : 28-21 - (Lottery)
2015-2016 : 50-32 - (Conference Final)
2016-2017 : 35-47 - (Lottery)
2017-2018 : 54-28 - (Conference Final, Atlantic Division Champion)
2018-2019 : 49-33 - (2nd round)
2019-2020 : 57-25 - (2nd round, Atlantic Division Champion)

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hardenwithnod
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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by hardenwithnod »

Got it, thanks for the hard work!
Alvarado/Mitchell/Tatum/Bender/Birutis

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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by drumr »

Confirms what I thought about Draymond. Man I hope his DI improves. He impacts the game in so many ways.
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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by 8time »

Power rankings and Raptor+ are my favorite articles.

When is part 2 coming out? :D

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Re: RAPTOR++ / 2018-2019 CSL Season / Ep.1

Post by Mattybriand »

Can't wait for the next edition
George DePaula|Damien Inglis|Draymond Green|Karl Anthony-Towns|Nikola Jokić

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