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RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

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RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by Chilikonkarne »

For those who don’t know RAPTOR++, it is a tool that combine the ratings of each player (70%) and his efficiency in game (30%). Their capacities are weighted in order to value good rebounding for bigs for example.
The % in game is also considered in the ratings which probably change the balance from 70/30 to 60/40.

The tool premiere objective is to evaluate players value when it comes to trade or free agency. It has it flaws with defensive aspects not taken into consideration (%STP, PA/SF).
However, I believe it bring a good overview in general and was well received the last years by the league.
I decided not to include team record since I like to compare the players over the years.

2018 - Isaiah Austin - Phoenix_Suns : 19.2pts, 52%, 1.3ast, 7.2rbd, 0.6stl, 2blk in 30.7min / EVAL: 85.1
2017 - Isaiah Austin - Phoenix_Suns : 15.4pts, 50%, 2.8ast, 4.9rbd, 0.8stl, 1.9blk in 30.2min / EVAL: 80.1
2016 - Isaiah Austin - Phoenix_Suns : 14.1pts, 51%, 2.5ast, 6.5rbd, 0.8stl, 1.9blk in 29min / EVAL: 79.6
2015 - Isaiah Austin - Phoenix_Suns : 12.1pts, 48%, 1.5ast, 5rbd, 0.6stl, 2.1blk in 28.6min / EVAL: 74.0
2014 - Isaiah Austin - Phoenix Suns : 13pts, 43%, 1.2ast, 4.9rbd, 0.6stl, 2blk in 28.2min / EVAL: 71.9


Filter : A player has to play more than 20 minutes a game and at least 40 games to be eligible.

Here we go for the Top10 ranking by position - last edition of the season!

Point Guard

Image
Westbrook dominated the regular season at PG, but got injured once again in the playoffs

#1 - Russell Westbrook - Boston_Celtics : 24.6pts, 48%, 4ast, 4.4rbd, 1.5stl, 0.2blk in 29.6min / EVAL: 91.0
#2 - Damian Lillard - Los_Angeles_Clippers : 24.8pts, 48%, 6ast, 3.8rbd, 1.2stl, 0.3blk in 33.1min / EVAL: 87.6
#3 - John Wall - Dallas_Mavericks : 21.6pts, 43%, 5.5ast, 4.2rbd, 1.6stl, 0.9blk in 34.6min / EVAL: 86.6
#4 - Kemba Walker - Detroit_Pistons : 22.6pts, 45%, 5.2ast, 3.7rbd, 2.3stl, 0.5blk in 34min / EVAL: 86.4
#5 - Stephen Curry - Dallas_Mavericks : 18.8pts, 47%, 5.6ast, 3.2rbd, 1.3stl, 0.1blk in 30.3min / EVAL: 84.6
#6 - Kyrie Irving - Cleveland_Cavaliers : 23.9pts, 43%, 5.5ast, 3.4rbd, 1.2stl, 0.4blk in 33.6min / EVAL: 84.3
#7 - Eric Bledsoe - Phoenix_Suns : 18.1pts, 46%, 6.5ast, 3.7rbd, 1.6stl, 1.3blk in 32.1min / EVAL: 83.5
#8 - Derrick Rose - Chicago_Bulls : 20.2pts, 46%, 4.7ast, 3.4rbd, 0.7stl, 0.4blk in 31.9min / EVAL: 80.6
#9 - Jeremy Lin - Los_Angeles_Lakers : 17.1pts, 45%, 6.2ast, 3.8rbd, 2stl, 0.5blk in 35.5min / EVAL: 78.9
#10 - Marcus Smart - San_Antonio_Spurs : 22.6pts, 45%, 4.4ast, 6.5rbd, 0.9stl, 0blk in 37.1min / EVAL: 78.2


Behind (Payton, Holiday, Lawson)

Shooting Guard

Image
By far the worst season of Harden in the CSL

#1 - Paul George - Orlando_Magic : 29pts, 47%, 4.5ast, 8.5rbd, 2.6stl, 0.8blk in 37.6min / EVAL: 94.8
#2 - James Harden - Houston_Rockets : 26.8pts, 47%, 5.1ast, 5.3rbd, 0.9stl, 0.3blk in 34min / EVAL: 89.5
#3 - Dante Exum - Utah_Jazz : 20.6pts, 48%, 5.5ast, 4.6rbd, 1.7stl, 1.5blk in 36.9min / EVAL: 85.4
#4 - Goran Dragic - Minnesota_Timberwolves : 22.5pts, 46%, 5.8ast, 4.1rbd, 1.1stl, 0.1blk in 37.3min / EVAL: 82.3
#5 - Brandon Jennings - Portland_Trailblazers : 14.6pts, 39%, 4.4ast, 3rbd, 1.1stl, 0.2blk in 25.8min / EVAL: 81.5
#6 - Klay Thompson - San_Antonio_Spurs : 18.2pts, 44%, 3.5ast, 4.5rbd, 0.9stl, 0.6blk in 31.6min / EVAL: 79.4
#7 - Gary Harris - Washington_Wizards : 15.4pts, 44%, 3ast, 2.5rbd, 1.6stl, 0.3blk in 28min / EVAL: 78.9
#8 - Ben McLemore - Sacramento_Kings : 17.6pts, 47%, 2.2ast, 3.8rbd, 1.3stl, 0.8blk in 34.1min / EVAL: 78.6
#9 - Victor Oladipo - Detroit_Pistons : 14.8pts, 43%, 3.3ast, 4.1rbd, 1.8stl, 0.7blk in 31.9min / EVAL: 78.2
#10 - James Young - Oklahoma_City_Thunder : 13.5pts, 46%, 4.5ast, 2.9rbd, 0.7stl, 0.1blk in 25.5min / EVAL: 77.6


Behind (LaVine, Ellis, Jackson)

Small Forward

Image
Porter became a tremendous player on both side of the court

#1 - Kevin Durant - Portland_Trailblazers : 31pts, 52%, 5.9ast, 8.3rbd, 1.3stl, 1.1blk in 37.7min / EVAL: 97.5
#2 - Lebron James - Dallas_Mavericks : 24.6pts, 49%, 4.6ast, 5.5rbd, 1.4stl, 0.4blk in 34.4min / EVAL: 92.3
#3 - Kawhi Leonard - Toronto_Raptors : 20.3pts, 51%, 1.7ast, 5.7rbd, 1.6stl, 0.8blk in 33.4min / EVAL: 84.4
#4 - Jabari Parker - Philadelphia_Sixers : 26.8pts, 50%, 1ast, 5.5rbd, 0.9stl, 0.3blk in 35.1min / EVAL: 84.0
#5 - Otto Porter - Sacramento_Kings : 15.7pts, 48%, 2.1ast, 5.5rbd, 2.4stl, 1.3blk in 32.9min / EVAL: 82.2
#6 - Chandler Parsons - New_Orleans_Pelicans : 15.9pts, 46%, 2.9ast, 4.2rbd, 1.3stl, 0.5blk in 27min / EVAL: 81.4
#7 - Andrew Wiggins - Charlotte_Hornets : 22.2pts, 44%, 1.5ast, 5.3rbd, 1.2stl, 1.1blk in 37.5min / EVAL: 76.9
#8 - Carmelo Anthony - Portland_Trailblazers : 19pts, 46%, 1ast, 5.5rbd, 0.9stl, 0.3blk in 32.9min / EVAL: 76.0
#9 - Dion Waiters - Brooklyn_Nets : 17.1pts, 40%, 3.1ast, 3.5rbd, 1.3stl, 0.3blk in 30.8min / EVAL: 75.4
#10 - Nikola Mirotic - Los_Angeles_Lakers : 13.8pts, 39%, 1.9ast, 3.6rbd, 1.1stl, 1.2blk in 27min / EVAL: 74.1


Behind (White, Stephenson, Beal)

Power Foward

Image
Serge had a career-year under the Heat jersey

#1 - Anthony Davis - New_Orleans_Pelicans : 26.2pts, 58%, 0.9ast, 10rbd, 1.3stl, 2.6blk in 32.8min / EVAL: 102.9
#2 - Blake Griffin - Cleveland_Cavaliers : 25.6pts, 57%, 3.2ast, 10.8rbd, 1.3stl, 0.6blk in 32.1min / EVAL: 99.5
#3 - Al Horford - Chicago_Bulls : 18.8pts, 60%, 2.9ast, 7.8rbd, 1stl, 1.5blk in 30.2min / EVAL: 92.5
#4 - Stanley Johnson Jr. - Oklahoma_City_Thunder : 20.3pts, 48%, 1.1ast, 10.5rbd, 0.8stl, 0.4blk in 30.3min / EVAL: 85.7
#5 - Serge Ibaka - Miami_Heat : 17.1pts, 52%, 1.1ast, 9.9rbd, 0.4stl, 2.7blk in 33.1min / EVAL: 83.3
#6 - Richard Solomon - Sacramento_Kings : 16pts, 50%, 2.4ast, 7.7rbd, 1.2stl, 1.1blk in 31.6min / EVAL: 82.9
#7 - Josh Smith - Milwaukee_Bucks : 17.2pts, 49%, 3.1ast, 6rbd, 1.1stl, 1.1blk in 29.1min / EVAL: 81.2
#8 - Kevin Love - New_York_Knicks : 17.5pts, 40%, 1.5ast, 11rbd, 1stl, 0.4blk in 36.4min / EVAL: 81
#9 - Michael Kidd-Gilchrist - Phoenix_Suns : 14.1pts, 51%, 1.6ast, 7.5rbd, 1.7stl, 1.5blk in 31.5min / EVAL: 80.6
#10 - LaMarcus Aldridge - Miami_Heat : 19.6pts, 46%, 1.2ast, 10.5rbd, 0.8stl, 0.8blk in 33min / EVAL: 80.6


Behind (Gay, Thompson, Gasol)

Center

Image
Drummond finally on the top!

#1 - Andre Drummond - Toronto_Raptors : 15.2pts, 60%, 1.2ast, 8.9rbd, 0.9stl, 1.9blk in 29.2min / EVAL: 89.0
#2 - Dwight Howard - New_Orleans_Pelicans : 16.4pts, 51%, 1.1ast, 10.2rbd, 1.3stl, 1.7blk in 30.6min / EVAL: 87.7
#3 - DeMarcus Cousins - Orlando_Magic : 21.2pts, 49%, 1ast, 8.1rbd, 1stl, 0.9blk in 29.5min / EVAL: 87.4
#4 - Kenneth Faried - Boston_Celtics : 15.4pts, 55%, 1.1ast, 9.5rbd, 1.4stl, 1.2blk in 29min / EVAL: 87.3
#5 - Al Jefferson - Utah_Jazz : 21.9pts, 56%, 1ast, 10rbd, 1.1stl, 1.2blk in 33.1min / EVAL: 87.2
#6 - Walter Tavares - San_Antonio_Spurs : 18.4pts, 60%, 0.8ast, 10.7rbd, 0.6stl, 1.1blk in 33.4min / EVAL: 85.3
#7 - Isaiah Austin - Phoenix_Suns : 19.2pts, 52%, 1.3ast, 7.2rbd, 0.6stl, 2blk in 30.7min / EVAL: 85.1
#8 - Brook Lopez - Orlando_Magic : 15.9pts, 49%, 1ast, 6rbd, 0.5stl, 1.6blk in 24.5min / EVAL: 83.2
#9 - Greg Monroe - Los_Angeles_Lakers : 17.6pts, 48%, 1.2ast, 9.2rbd, 0.8stl, 0.7blk in 31.2min / EVAL: 82.1
#10 - Jonas Valanciunas - Atlanta_Hawks : 13.8pts, 49%, 0.9ast, 8rbd, 0.7stl, 1.7blk in 28.9min / EVAL: 79.2

Behind (Kanter, Sanders, Hibbert)

Rookies

Image
ROY

#1 - Kristaps Porzingis - Dallas_Mavericks : 11pts, 49%, 1.1ast, 5.7rbd, 1.1stl, 1.6blk in 26.4min / EVAL: 77.3
#2 - Hassan Whiteside - Detroit_Pistons : 8.4pts, 53%, 0.7ast, 7.7rbd, 0.6stl, 2.3blk in 25min / EVAL: 76.4
#3 - Nikola Mirotic - Los_Angeles_Lakers : 13.8pts, 39%, 1.9ast, 3.6rbd, 1.1stl, 1.2blk in 27min / EVAL: 74.1
#4 - Draymond Green - Indiana_Pacers : 6.2pts, 40%, 2.6ast, 5.3rbd, 1.1stl, 1blk in 22.7min / EVAL: 74.0
#5 - Khris Middleton - Memphis_Grizzlies : 14.5pts, 46%, 2.3ast, 2.4rbd, 0.9stl, 0blk in 28.7min / EVAL: 71.8
#6 - Justin Harper - Golden_State_Warriors : 17.5pts, 42%, 0.6ast, 6.1rbd, 0.5stl, 1.1blk in 28.9min / EVAL: 70.5
#7 - DeMarre Carroll - Houston_Rockets : 9.7pts, 46%, 1.5ast, 3.9rbd, 1.2stl, 0.4blk in 28.9min / EVAL: 68.9
#8 - Jae Crowder - Washington_Wizards : 8.3pts, 39%, 1.4ast, 2.3rbd, 1.3stl, 0.3blk in 22.6min / EVAL: 68.5
#9 - Emmanuel Mudiay - Los_Angeles_Clippers : 13.2pts, 40%, 5.7ast, 3.7rbd, 0.7stl, 0.8blk in 32.6min / EVAL: 66.8
#10 - E'Twaun Moore - Philadelphia_Sixers : 9.3pts, 42%, 1.5ast, 2.5rbd, 1stl, 0.6blk in 29.5min / EVAL: 65.6


Behind (Ezeli, Jones, Dellavedova)

For your pleasure, a selection of players who have seen the court way too much this year…

Image
Sometimes, being a good defender is not enough

PG - Shannon Scott - Indiana_Pacers : 5.2pts, 31%, 2.7ast, 1.8rbd, 0.7stl, 0blk in 20.3min / EVAL: 57.1
SG - Tony Snell - Milwaukee_Bucks : 4.3pts, 35%, 1ast, 1.8rbd, 0.6stl, 0blk in 21.3min / EVAL: 53.7
SF - Dwight Powell - Minnesota_Timberwolves : 6pts, 43%, 1ast, 3.4rbd, 0.5stl, 0.3blk in 24.9min / EVAL: 54.3
PF - Joel Bolomboy - Milwaukee_Bucks : 4.2pts, 37%, 0.7ast, 4.5rbd, 0.2stl, 1.4blk in 21.3min / EVAL: 55.0
C - Arturas Gudaitis - Brooklyn_Nets : 6.9pts, 40%, 0.9ast, 5.1rbd, 0.5stl, 1blk in 23.1min / EVAL: 59.7
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2014-2015 : 28-21 - (Lottery)
2015-2016 : 50-32 - (Conference Final)
2016-2017 : 35-47 - (Lottery)
2017-2018 : 54-28 - (Conference Final, Atlantic Division Champion)
2018-2019 : 49-33 - (2nd round)
2019-2020 : 57-25 - (2nd round, Atlantic Division Champion)

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hardenwithnod
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by hardenwithnod »

Good stuff as usual!
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by Rizzo »

Ouch, Gudaitis getting the unhonorable mention! :lol:

Fantastic stuff as always Chili!
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by OneNole »

R.O.Y.
FINALLY a logical HC Rule our work is done

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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by Jestor »

Mirotic the only rookie to crack the positional rankings though

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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by andrei »

This is interesting as usually. However, to be honest I kinda lost interest in these rating once you revealed that half of the players effort (defense) is not even taken into account.
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by Chilikonkarne »

andrei wrote:This is interesting as usually. However, to be honest I kinda lost interest in these rating once you revealed that half of the players effort (defense) is not even taken into account.
This is not true. DEF, STL and BLK ratings are considered. Steals and Blocks statistics as well.
The only defensive statistics not considered are PA/SF and STP%. The model is build to have them but there is no way to extract them automatically.
Chilikonkarne Era (273-186 / 59%)

2014-2015 : 28-21 - (Lottery)
2015-2016 : 50-32 - (Conference Final)
2016-2017 : 35-47 - (Lottery)
2017-2018 : 54-28 - (Conference Final, Atlantic Division Champion)
2018-2019 : 49-33 - (2nd round)
2019-2020 : 57-25 - (2nd round, Atlantic Division Champion)

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mgtr81
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by mgtr81 »

Smith is our only player making the good list ... a couple others in the last list. :oops:

That being said, I think Bolomboy can become a solid rotational defensive player in the future.
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by drumr »

Love seeing Kyrie and Blake up there. Finally have the same big guns as the other Eastern contenders. We can get one more guy off these lists as a complimentary player to make a real big 3 and it's on in the East.
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by Mattybriand »

Good read
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by 8time »

Good stuff.
I hope to see Rozier up there next year

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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by hardenwithnod »

I wonder how Gary Harris will do if I increase his minutes next year.
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by blackice »

Great stuff, I have Kemba as the best PG in the league and Lillard second, so I agree with his place on your list. Might argue Bledsoe as well, he had some injury issues but he is such a force on both ends.
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by Dennis »

blackice wrote:Great stuff, I have Kemba as the best PG in the league and Lillard second, so I agree with his place on your list. Might argue Bledsoe as well, he had some injury issues but he is such a force on both ends.
How couldn't you make the playoffs with the second best PG in the league?
Honestly, Wall, Bledsoe. Payton, Westbrook, Rose, Lin, curry and at least 1-2 more which I forgot have a bigger impact on their team than Lil
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by KW »

Dennis wrote:
blackice wrote:Great stuff, I have Kemba as the best PG in the league and Lillard second, so I agree with his place on your list. Might argue Bledsoe as well, he had some injury issues but he is such a force on both ends.
How couldn't you make the playoffs with the second best PG in the league?
Honestly, Wall, Bledsoe. Payton, Westbrook, Rose, Lin, curry and at least 1-2 more which I forgot have a bigger impact on their team than Lil
Agree with all of these plus Kyrie and the multitude of SGs that are capable of playing PG as well.

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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by WillyJakkz »

Great seeing Paul George finish #1 at SG once again and having both my C's DeMarcus Cousins and Brook Lopez finish #3 #8 respectively in limited roles for both due to team makeup.

Great season series finish chili

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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by Cleasby »

Interesting metric. Is this just a rating based on box score stats? Seems like offence is valued very heavily. By that I mean scoring.
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by OneNole »

Cleasby wrote:Interesting metric. Is this just a rating based on box score stats? Seems like offence is valued very heavily. By that I mean scoring.
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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by hardenwithnod »

Cleasby wrote:Interesting metric. Is this just a rating based on box score stats? Seems like offence is valued very heavily. By that I mean scoring.

It's based on ratings, and stats. Defensive metrics aren't used though.
Alvarado/Mitchell/Tatum/Bender/Birutis

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Re: RAPTOR++ / Final 2018-2019 CSL Season

Post by KW »

Given the shooting struggles Harden had for a significant chunk of the season (and then the injury at the end), I'm pretty happy that he finished 8th in Raptor++ this season. He was hovering around 30% from deep until he and LaVine caught fire after the All-Star break and before his injury. All three of Harden, LaVine, and Marble had nightmare shooting seasons prior to the all-star break.

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